Bowl Projections: OSU gets new Rose Bowl foe

No major shakeups. Stanford’s loss at USC means Oregon is now slated to play Ohio State in the Rose Bowl. But UCLA just as easily could be the foe. The Buckeyes cling to BCS title game hopes, resting at No. 3 in the current standings.

But, they’ll need a loss by Alabama or Florida State to get there—while fencing off hard-charging No. 4 Baylor. Stay tuned. Gonna be fun.

I have flipped the spots of Michigan State and Wisconsin, with the Spartans now in the Capital One and the Badgers in the Outback. No big whoop, honestly.

Wisconsin still harbors hopes of securing an at-large BCS bowl spot. The Badgers need to ascend to No. 14 in the BCS standings; they are No. 19 now. Michigan State is No. 13, but if it loses the Big Ten title game, it figures to sink.

How about iconic rivals Nebraska and Oklahoma meeting in Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl? Delicious.

[ MORE: Power Rankings | Week 12 picks revisited | Week 12 grades & stocks | BCS Standings ]

Rose Bowl, Jan. 1 (Big Ten vs. Pac-12): Ohio State vs. Oregon
Capital One Bowl, Jan. 1 (Big Ten vs. SEC): Michigan State vs. Missouri
Outback Bowl, Jan. 1 (Big Ten vs. SEC): Wisconsin vs. Texas A&M
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl, Dec. 28 (Big Ten vs. Big 12): Nebraska vs. Oklahoma
Gator Bowl, Jan. 1 (Big Ten vs. SEC): Michigan vs. Georgia
Texas Bowl, Dec. 27 (Big Ten vs. Big 12): Minnesota vs. Texas Tech
Heart of Dallas, Jan. 1 (Big Ten vs. C-USA): Iowa vs. North Texas

About Tom Dienhart BTN.com senior writer Tom Dienhart is a veteran sports journalist who covers Big Ten football and men’s basketball for BTN.com and BTN TV. Find him on Twitter and Facebook, read all of his work at btn.com/tomdienhart, and subscribe to his posts via RSS. Also, send questions to his weekly mailbag using the form below and read all of his previous answers in his reader mailbag section.

And if you want to leave a comment on this post, use the box below. All comments need to be approved by a moderator.

Find out more about:

29 Comments

Your Opinion?
Show Comments (29 Comments)
Kyle on 11/18/2013 @ 10:14am EDT Said:

Not a bad bowl lineup. The Michigan/Georgia match seems like the only major mismatch in the bowl games. A change from the past several years.

John on 11/18/2013 @ 10:20am EDT Said:

If the Gophs win either one of their last two games against the Badgers or Spartans, I assume, Dienhart, you self proclaimed genius, that you would put them in a New Years Day bowl? They should be projected ahead of the Cornhuskers already given the head to head.

Firstinline on 11/18/2013 @ 10:38am EDT Said:

Once again, the Badgers get no respect. First they start off with a low ranking. Then lose to AS by the “Bad” call. The only lose by 7 on the road to OH. They have manhandled everyone else they have played and now hold Indiana to 3 points when they were averaging 28. OH, MS and WI, are all about the same caliber teams. They are not in the class with Alabama or Florida State, but could play with any other team in the top 10. Plenty of dis-repsect for both Michigan State and Wisconsin.

Lyle Ellerbach on 11/18/2013 @ 10:49am EDT Said:

If Michigan gets beat by Iowa and Ohio State do they still get the Gator Bowl ahead of Iowa or Minnesota? I hope not!!

Grant on 11/18/2013 @ 11:20am EDT Said:

Looks about right. I think Mennesota loses 2 in a row to finish the season. I still think that Minnesota might be able to get a better bowl bid than Michigan however. But the bowl committees love Michigan and the fans they will bring.

Paul McGuire on 11/18/2013 @ 11:24am EDT Said:

John, in response to your Gopher’s comment, it has much more to do with traveling fans than with where you stack up in the rankings or quality/head to head wins. The bowl selection committees want a team who they know will travel and pay top dollar for tickets. I know minnesota fans are passionate and love their team but Nebraska fans are in much larger numbers and are notorious for traveling across the country to follow Big Red. I do not agree with how this is done, however that’s the nature of college football, money talks.

Todd on 11/18/2013 @ 11:58am EDT Said:

Lyle–if Michigan gets beat by Iowa and Ohio State–that puts their record at 7-5. Iowa would have the same record if they beat Michigan and lose to Nebraska. So, Iowa could move up two spots and Michigan could fall two spots.

Minnesota has two TOUGH games the next two weeks against Wisconsin and Michigan State. Now, its not ENTIRELY inconceivable–but if Michigan State were to lose to both Northwestern and Minnesota–Minnesota amazingly could find themselves in Indianapolis as the Legends division representative playing for a B1G championship.

In other words–the bowl predictions right now–could mean diddly squat in the next two weeks depending on how the games play out.

sparty#83 on 11/18/2013 @ 12:32pm EDT Said:

I have to say everyone has already assumed OSU is going to beat MSU, (obviously must beat NU), in the Big 10 Championship game. Take a look back to what MSU held Indiana to, compared to OSU’s game this past Saturday. Starting to get a real good feeling about the Spartans beating Ohio State. Defense wins championships and this “D” is #1 in the NATION!! Offense continues to improve every week, so could be interesting if Spartans don’t slip up. Still think they will get screwed once again by having to play an extra game, if they lose to OSU, will get shafted again, from a BCS bowl game. Oh well, always proud of my Spartans. GO GREEN!

Harlanman76 on 11/18/2013 @ 1:00pm EDT Said:

John on 11/18/2013 @ 10:20am EST Said:
….They should be projected ahead of the Cornhuskers already given the head to head.
.
Bowls are not about H2H, who won what or who ‘deserves’ what. Bowls are about butts in the seats and eyeballs on TV. Nothing more and nothing less. Given the history of the programs and coaches, NU/OU has much more sizzle to it. MN VS TT has history too. Just ask Glenn Mason.

kevin on 11/18/2013 @ 1:51pm EDT Said:

You all most got it right. I say the winner of the Iowa-Michigan will go to the Gator and the loser to the heart of Dallas bowl.

Harlanman76 on 11/18/2013 @ 1:58pm EDT Said:

Take a look back to what MSU held Indiana to, compared to OSU’s game this past Saturday. Starting to get a real good feeling about the Spartans beating Ohio State. Defense wins championships and this “D” is #1 in the NATION!!
.
Take a look at what they gave up last weekend against NEB. How many top 50 Offenses has MiSt played this year? Look past the numbers and see what stats were generated against which teams. NEB proved a good O, even a beat up one, can run against Sparty. Think about what tOSU could do…..

    sparty#83 on 11/18/2013 @ 2:44pm EDT Said:

    Just saying common oppoents with MSU & OSU, Indiana. Proof is in the puddign as they say. Just speculating at this point because that is all we have to go by. We’ll see hopefully if MSU does play OSU, may the best team win, is all I am saying.

John Steward on 11/18/2013 @ 2:06pm EDT Said:

Booo! No Gophers in a January bowl?

John on 11/18/2013 @ 2:36pm EDT Said:

Paul/Harlan,

I get the political and money aspect of the bowl lobby and I realize that, in the end, all schools in the Big Ten benefit from the alignment that results in the most money…..to a point. I’m no Pollyana but if the Gophers havent been to a New Years Day bowl in, I don’t know, forever, what history do they (bowl apologisits) have to dictate how they will actually travel? Recent lower tier bowls can’t be necessarily looked at individually. If they knock off Bucky or Sparty, the Gophers certainly deserve a New Years Day bowl. If they lose the next two, play well, and the Cornholers and Wolverines continue their demise, the Gophers also would deserve the New Years Day bowl. Someone would have to “nut up” and get it done (a.k.a, U of M brass….)

Jeff on 11/18/2013 @ 5:02pm EDT Said:

B1G didn’t exactly impress with ticket sales last year:
http://espn.go.com/blog/bigten/post/_/id/67844/looking-at-big-ten-bowl-ticket-sales
so they’d have no reason not to take a chance on Minnesota selling their ticket allotment for a Jan 1 game. I actually think they’d be near the conference top in sales for that Gator Bowl.

Doug on 11/18/2013 @ 6:28pm EDT Said:

and seeing what OSU’s defense is giving up, MSU will move the ball too. Neb was held to 21 in their own building and scored a TD during garbage time, congrats. MSU’s defense is still the best in the big ten.

Blake on 11/18/2013 @ 6:44pm EDT Said:

So you’re picking Michigan to win in Kinnick? Nah man.

Doug on 11/18/2013 @ 8:00pm EDT Said:

M is gonna lose their last two and still go to a bowl they don’t deserve

Todd on 11/18/2013 @ 9:47pm EDT Said:

unless something crazy happens MSU will face OSU and the outcome is a toss up, the Spartans are Hungry! They are the best hope hands down of taking OSU down.

Casey on 11/19/2013 @ 10:07am EDT Said:

Purdue was also a common opponent for MSU and OSU. Spartans put up 14 against them. How many did OSU put up???

Big Stan on 11/19/2013 @ 3:17pm EDT Said:

@sparty#83 – I noticed you failed to mention about common opponent Purdue, MSU won 14-0 @ home. OSU won 56-0 on the road. There is also the Iowa games, which MSU won by 12 on the road, and OSU won by 10 @ home. It appears that in each case OSU scored more points, and MSU held the opponent to fewer or the same points.

Deborah Clark on 11/19/2013 @ 8:03pm EDT Said:

What happens if Michigan State wins the Big Ten Championship Game?

Don Bennett on 11/19/2013 @ 11:04pm EDT Said:

This is exactly why we need the playoff system in College Football. Because teams like Michigan are always going to get better than deserved Bowl games and teams like MSU and Minnesota are always going to not get what they have earned. The next step to a less biased Bowl system is to increase the number of BCS playoff games to 8 teams instead of 4. Top 8 teams in country use the playoff system meaning only 2 teams would play the 3rd and deciding game for the National Championship.

Doug on 11/20/2013 @ 11:18am EDT Said:

@ Casey – Ilinois was also a common opponent for MSU and OSU. MSU only allowed 3 points, how many did OSU allow?

Harlanman76 on 11/20/2013 @ 6:00pm EDT Said:

Don Bennett on 11/19/2013 @ 11:04pm EST Said:
This is exactly why we need the playoff system in College Football. Because teams like Michigan are always going to get better than deserved Bowl games and teams like MSU and Minnesota are always going to not get what they have earned. The next step to a less biased Bowl system is to increase the number of BCS playoff games to 8 teams instead of 4.
.

Bowl games are not about who ‘deserves’ or ‘earned’ what. Bowls are about butts in the seats and eyeballs on TV. It’s about making money for the Bowl, the Sponsors, the Networks and the Conferences. They’re about conferences showcasing their best programs and brand. (A MN VS KY Capitol One Bowl game? Please….) Bowls have very little to do with ‘fairness’. They never have and NEVER will. A playoff has minimal effect on the overall bowl system or selection. To believe otherwise is pure folly.

Harlanman76 on 11/20/2013 @ 6:15pm EDT Said:

Deborah Clark on 11/19/2013 @ 8:03pm EST Said:
What happens if Michigan State wins the Big Ten Championship Game?
.
If Michigan State goes to the Rose Bowl, then tOSU, probably, to an at large BCS bowl. Two B1G teams in BCS bowls has some affect on the rest of the selections. Everyone else ‘bumps’ up a bowl from the above projections. Probably Wisconsin goes to the Cap 1, maybe NE to the Outback, maybe MI to BWW, etc.

southtexgopher on 11/21/2013 @ 12:19pm EDT Said:

As a Minnesota alum, I hate to admit it – but our fans do not travel well. I live in San Antonio – a few hours down I-10 from Houston – and attended the Texas Bowl last year. Our fans were not represented. We were vastly outnumbered by Tech fans (and yes, I do understand that they were more “local”). That said, our side was so empty that we were asked by bowl employees if we wanted to move down to the lower level. We ended up in seats about five rows from the field. Even with this free upgrade for Minnesota fans, we still had Tech fans in Minnesota’s section (and the upper decks on “our” side were nearly empty).

Until we can build a reputation for a solid football program and a solid football fanbase, we’re destined to head to lower level bowls. As someone said earlier, it’s all about money.

Don Bennett on 11/22/2013 @ 11:19pm EDT Said:

So if it is the way you say Harlanman why do we even play the games why don’t we just give Michigan and Ohio State the best 2 bowl bids every year?? Because it is about sending the Best Teams that have the Best chance of beating their Opponent. Oh and by the way you cannot fit 250,000 fans into 1 stadium so don’t give my the filling seats BS as MSU and teams that have common Stadium capacities seem to fill 75,000 each weekend. So I don’t care if you have Northwestern or Minnesota or Iowa going to a BCS game their fans will buy tickets and fill the seats. I believe you just have BIG 8 little 2 syndrome still in you head. Times have changed and now the equality of good players is Spread out among all the Big Ten teams giving us better games.

    Harlanman76 on 11/23/2013 @ 2:04pm EDT Said:

    Don, there are a lot of points in your post.
    .
    Life isn’t fair. CFB isn’t fair and bowls aren’t fair. Bowls need butts in the seats and eyeballs on TV to remain economically viable. Selling 75,000 tickets to a home game is a LOT different than selling 30-40K tickets (plus travel expenses) to a game in CA, AZ, TX, or FL. The specific match up is secondary to the primary interest of making money.
    .
    If Indiana Vs KY in the Capitol One Bowl would sell as many tickets and bring the viewership that a MI VS FL game would, Bowls would do it. Teams like MI and tOSU have proven they help bowl games reach their goals of selling tickets and bringing in viewers. That’s why they get invites to ‘better’ bowls than other ‘deserving’ teams.
    .
    If this concept tweaks fans of teams that have a ‘good year’ (see MN) then do something about it. Sell out your stadiums. Demand your programs improve and support that program as it does. (Florida State did it. WI did it. Oregon is doing it. Oklahoma St. is doing it. Baylor is trying to do it.) But don’t blame programs like MI, tOSU, Neb, PSU and to a certain extent IA, for getting a ‘better’ bowl game for what they ‘earned’ over decades (and even a century) of success and support. Don’t be one of the ‘have nots’ whining about what the ‘have’s’ earned through hard work.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

Have a question for BTN Customer Service? Please e-mail us here