Reader mail: Big Ten questions pouring in

It’s time to reach into my weekly mailbag. Lots of interesting cards and letters this week. Brady Hoke? Penn State schedule predictions? Indiana football on the rise? Ohio State and the chip on its shoulder?

So, let’s get to it. See my answers to your questions in this post.

I realize trying to kid and rib Ohio State is part of the Michigan-Ohio State rivalry. But if Brady Hoke’s team loses again to Urban Meyer (he’d be 0-2 head-to-head with Meyer and OSU would be 11-2 over last 13 meetings), doesn’t all the stuff he says just look arbitrary without getting results? It looks like Jan Brady putting on the wig to try to stand out. – Michael

First off, your Jan Brady reference is epic and much appreciated from this child of the 1970s. As for Hoke and his “needling” of the Buckeyes, I think it’s fun, refreshing and good for the rivalry. As a “for instance,” Hoke refusing to say “Ohio State” and instead insisting on saying “Ohio” is harmless. But it adds some fuel to what’s one of America’s best rivalries. It sure beats having someone with Bill Belichick’s personality.

The schedule sets up well for Penn State this year.

After the chaotic mess that Bill O’Brien walked into last year, I expect the run up to this year to look much more normal and organized. With the talent that the Nittany Lions have, I expect them to open with a 5-0 record.  I think Ohio State is a loss, and Nebraska and Wisconsin are probably losses because Penn State is operating with a shallow depth chart and injuries will probably take a toll by then. Illinois, Minnesota and Purdue are probably all wins. Because it’s at home and early in the season, I think Penn State’s October game against Michigan is the swing game between an 8-4 and 9-3 record. If it goes like this, O’Brien will have proven himself a second time and (if I’m him, anyway) may catch the first bus out of Happy Valley for greener pastures before the program really starts to feel the bite of the sanctions. – Luke in Nebraska

Nice analysis. I hope for Penn State’s sake that O’Brien doesn’t leave. He apparently gave the NFL some thought after last season but opted to remain. O’Brien seems committed, but he could be frustrated if he feels not everyone is backing him—which may be the case.

As for Penn State’s record, here is how I pencil in wins and losses:

  • Aug. 31 vs. Syracuse (at East Rutherford, N.J.) W
  • Sept. 7 –  EASTERN MICHIGAN W
  • Sept. 14 – CENTRAL FLORIDA W
  • Sept. 21 – KENT STATE W
  • Oct. 5 at Indiana W
  • Oct. 12 – MICHIGAN L
  • Oct. 26 at Ohio State L
  • Nov. 2 – ILLINOIS W
  • Nov. 9 at Minnesota W
  • Nov. 16 – PURDUE W
  • Nov. 23 – NEBRASKA L
  • Nov. 30 at Wisconsin L

So, that’s 8-4 for a second season in a row. Not bad.

I think the Indiana defense will be better. By midseason, they will be kicking some serious booty. This is a bigger, faster and much stronger team. If the Hoosiers can keep Kevin Wilson, he will be putting them on the national football map! – Al Pittman

I like the direction of Indiana’s program, too, but maybe not as much as you do. Wilson is doing some nice things. His most recent recruiting class was one of the school’s best in recent memory. And the Indiana offense was one of the Big Ten’s best last season and will be in 2013, as well. The defense? It’s getting better, but there still is a lack of top-end speed and athletic ability. If the defense can go from bad to average, Indiana could be good and reach its first bowl since 2007.

I agree with you 100 percent, Tom. Nebraska simply does not have elite talent, especially on defense. My question is why can’t the Cornhuskers seem to get that level of talent, or develop good players to great players? – Shane

Bo Pelini had some good defenses early in his Nebraska tenure, but the units have been inconsistent recently. I think Pelini is a good coach and that he has a scheme that works. But talent has been an issue. Facts are facts: Just two Nebraska players were selected in the 2013 draft, the school’s worst performance since 1969. Alfonzo Dennard and Rex Burkhead are the only Pelini recruits to be drafted, and neither was picked higher than the sixth round. Some things to consider for the lack of NFL production: Injuries have been a factor; and the players were recruited for the Big 12 style then moved to the Big Ten—which impacted the defense in 2011 and 2012. And many players had multiple position coaches. JC transfer Daimion Stafford had two coaches in two years. Baker Steinkuhler had three in five. Eric Martin had four coaches in four years. So, those are a few reasons why the defense has struggled recently.

The Buckeyes seemed to have had a chip on their shoulder last season, which was great, because they won every game. Can they still have that same chip on their shoulder this season? – Kevin Gillman

To me, that will be the biggest question about the Buckeyes in 2013. Can they say motivated, focused and hungry all season? But perhaps even more pertinent: Can Ohio State take and withstand every team’s best shot? The Buckeyes will be the biggest game on every team’s schedule. They will be the hunted, with lots of pressure and expectations. It all can be an exhausting proposition—especially from a mental standpoint.

As a Minnesota fan, I am excited about next season. Jerry Kill and his staff will be in their fourth year with a team that will be more physically ready and a team that will have much more experience. One last thing: tackle Ra’Shede Hageman will be defensive player of the year in the Big Ten. – Anthony Zasada

Like you, I am excited about the direction of the Golden Gophers under Kill, who I think is a terrific coach who has a strong staff. The offense needs to develop some big-play ability. And the defense needs its rebuilt linebacking corps to step up and for some pass rushers off the edge to emerge. If so, Minnesota’s bowl prospects could rise. As for Hageman, he is a freak.

But I’m not sure if he’ll be able to win Big Ten defensive player of the year honors. Since the award was started in 1990, only five tackles have won it: Illinois’ Moe Gardner in 1990; Purdue’s Jeff Zgonina in 1992; Ohio State’s Dan Wilkinson in 1993; Penn State’s Jared Odrick in 2009; Penn State’s Devon Still in 2011. But—who knows?—maybe Hageman can join that select group.

***

About Tom Dienhart BTN.com senior writer Tom Dienhart is a veteran sports journalist who covers Big Ten football and men’s basketball for BTN.com and BTN TV. Find him on Twitter and Facebook, read all of his work at btn.com/tomdienhart, and subscribe to his posts via RSS. Also, send questions to his weekly mailbag using the form below and read all of his previous answers in his reader mailbag section.

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16 Comments

Your Opinion?
Show Comments (16 Comments)
Common Sense on 5/24/2013 @ 8:24pm EDT Said:

Hoke has Dantonios number now. Hoke owns Dantonio

ukeone on 5/24/2013 @ 8:40pm EDT Said:

I agree with you 100 percent, Tom. Nebraska simply does not have elite talent, especially on defense. My question is why can’t the Cornhuskers seem to get that level of talent, or develop good players to great players? – Shane

Shane: It’s true that Bo Pelini has had good success with his defenses during his early tenure @ Nebraska (which may be because he inherited better overall recruited talent from the previous ‘ummmm…remain nameless’ coach); however, it is mostly because he was more directly ‘involved’ with actually coaching those earlier defensive units. He eventually backed-off and allowed his defensive coordinators (Carl Pelini & later, Coach Papuchis) & assistants to take-over (more and more) until they took (and now have) total control of the units. This allows Pelini to concentrate more on his ‘head coaching’ responsibilities. Once Pelini loosened his own personal grip on the defense, that’s when it began to lose its trademark ‘Blackshirt’ characteristics. Pelini could go back & take-over once again; but, I think current defensive coordinator Papuchis is on the right track, and he will eventually recruit better talent and mold his current & future defensive units back to Pelini’s (& Husker) standards. John Papuchis is a very young coach, but has a very talented mind (who will no doubt become a great head coach himself, someday), and he will start turning a few heads before long.

ukeone on 5/24/2013 @ 8:46pm EDT Said:

And, I apologize if I overlooked Tom’s answers to the Husker’s defensive problems, as he is 100% correct with that analysis.

Doug on 5/24/2013 @ 8:48pm EDT Said:

hey dhani, MSU pounded M 28-14 and M needed a last second miracle to beat MSU at the little house by 2 whole points. Order will be restored after MSU beats down M the next couple years at spartan stadium.

Common Sense on 5/24/2013 @ 10:24pm EDT Said:

Doug, it seems you can’t handle the truth. if you struggled to score in double digits against an 8-5 Michigan team with 10 points, then points are going to be hard for you to come by for the foreseeable future once Michigan becomes more talented due to its upgraded recruiting classes under Hoke. we were playing with mostly high 3* and low *4 the past few years thanks to attrition and Rich Rod’s mediocre recruiting classes which don’t hold a flame to Hoke’s

Common Sense on 5/24/2013 @ 10:34pm EDT Said:

Hey Doug my old coach LC used to beat your Spartans like a rented mule. Lloyd was the threat

Tim on 5/25/2013 @ 12:21am EDT Said:

Yeesh, I remember that episode of “The Brady Bunch” (the one with Jan and the black wig). That means I’m old.

Kyle on 5/25/2013 @ 6:58pm EDT Said:

Burkhead and Dennard are Peilini’s only recruits who have been drafted? Ever heard of Lavonte David or DeJon Gomes?

Doug on 5/26/2013 @ 7:21am EDT Said:

Hey Dhani, you might want to seek help for your MSU obsession.

Big Brother on 5/27/2013 @ 3:02pm EDT Said:

Hey Doug, there are actually 2 Common Senses. I was the other temporarily. BTN.com needs to start only accepting comments by people who make permanent profiles

K. John on 5/27/2013 @ 4:26pm EDT Said:

Penn State is 100% behind Bill O’Brien. To say otherwise is a lie. Period. As for Penn State’s record, Michigan is a win and if the officiating resembles honest, it won’t be close. The same for Nebraska and Wisconsin. Ohio State is the big one. Penn State had the better team last year but ended up with an L due to bias despite completely outplaying OSU. Penn State looks to have the better players at 19 of 22 starting positions but depth could be a key by the time they play. QB development will be key. Chalk this game up as the real Big Ten title game regardless.

Doug on 5/27/2013 @ 9:16pm EDT Said:

Yeah there are other Doug’s out there too, they should make profiles part of posting, would make more sense.

Big Brother on 5/28/2013 @ 12:48am EDT Said:

John, I see you still have sour grapes from 2005. maybe you should lay off the Kool-Aid a bit and wait and see before making a broad assumption about PSU. you’re acting like Doug with his weak Spartans

descrite16 on 5/28/2013 @ 10:13am EDT Said:

K. John, WHAT? Dream on,

K. John on 5/28/2013 @ 8:35pm EDT Said:

Apparently you didn’t watch the game. Deion Barnes and Jordan Hill were unblockable for four quarters yet not a single holding or illegal block was called. Go watch the film. Every big Ohio State play featured a clothesline by an OSU lineman on a Penn State defender or a tackle. Ohio State did not legitimately cross the fifty yard line until the fourth quarter. Penn State won that game on the field by three touchdowns. Period. The video of the game conclusively backs that statement.

Doug on 5/29/2013 @ 7:24pm EDT Said:

Hey K John, MSU beat OSU too if it makes you feel any better