NCAA Preview: Can Spartans make 9th Final Four?

Bracket makers didn’t do Michigan State any favors, putting it in the Midwest Region—which most experts feel is the toughest with No. 1 overall seed Louisville sitting atop it. That said, the Spartans get to play the first weekend in Auburn Hills, Mich., and if they advance to the second weekend, they play in Indianapolis.

[ RELATED: Read all of BTN.com's NCAA coverage ]

SPARTANS’ NCAA HISTORY
Tom Izzo’s NCAA record 37-14
NCAA tourney appearances 27
Record 54-25
Final Fours 8
Titles 1979, 2000

How far can it go? It basically comes down to the Spartans’ ability to hit shots in what is their 16th NCAA tourney appearance in a row. If MSU can’t, it struggles mightily on offense and becomes ordinary and very beatable. If the shots from outside are falling, this could be Tom Izzo’s seventh Final Four team. And, like other Izzo teams, this edition of the Spartans has improved as the season has progressed, playing the likes of UConn, Kansas and Miami (Fla.) in non-conference action and gaining mojo down the stretch. This team is a nice mix of youngsters like Gary Harris and Denzel Valentine and veterans like Derrick Nix, Keith Appling and Adreian Payne.

Best third-round matchup: A clash with No. 6 Memphis may loom. The Tigers are an athletic team that can run. But the Tigers likely haven’t seen a team as big and physical as Michigan State. The Spartans ability to rebound and defend should be enough to overwhelm Memphis

Chance to advance to the Sweet 16: Very good. In fact, if it doesn’t happen, it will be a disappointment. This team has been built to succeed in the postseason, playing a tough non-conference schedule. Heck, a front line of Nix, Payne and Branden Dawson should be enough to carry to team to two victories, beginning with an opening tilt vs. No. 14 Valparaiso. Reach the Sweet 16, and Duke may be waiting for the Spartans. The clash of college basketball royalty hasn’t happened often in March. In fact, just two times with the teams splitting.

OPPONENT: VALPO LEADERS
Points: R. Broekhoff 15.9
Rebounds: R. Broekhoff 7.3
Assists: E. Buggs 3.7
FG%: K. Van Wijk 65.0%
FT%: R. Broekhoff 87.8%
3P%: R. Broekhoff 43.2%
Steals: E. Buggs 1.5
Blocks: R. Broekhoff 0.8

Who needs to shine: Adreian Payne arguably has been Michigan State’s best player, coming into his own as a junior. Payne is a monster athlete at 6-10, able to run the floor and make athletic plays around the basket. But he has taken his game to another level with the ability to step out and hit a jumper to 3-point range. And Payne is a rangy defender whose long arms make him a shot blocking force in the lane.

X-factor: Keith Appling. Tell me you aren’t surprised? Appling must shoot well and limit turnovers. It’s vital the junior point man makes those around him better, too, as he steers the Spartan attack. Appling has endured his share of ups (the Kansas game) and downs (a brutal three-game stretch vs. Indiana, at Ohio State at Michigan). He must play smart and hit shots from outside to open the interior for the talented MSU front line.

[ RELATED: NCAA Midwest Region matchups | Spartans team page | NCAA.com interactive bracket ]

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About Tom Dienhart BTN.com senior writer Tom Dienhart is a veteran sports journalist who covers Big Ten football and men’s basketball for BTN.com and BTN TV. Find him on Twitter and Facebook, read all of his work at btn.com/tomdienhart, and subscribe to his posts via RSS. Also, send questions to his weekly mailbag using the form below and read all of his previous answers in his reader mailbag section.

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Show Comments (9 Comments)
9 Post Your Comment
Brent Yarina, BTN.com on 3/19/2013 @ 11:48am EDT Said:

Michigan State’s location for its first two games was incorrect. The error has been fixed. Thank you.

Doug on 3/19/2013 @ 11:51am EDT Said:

You’re welcome, Brent ! Stay out of trouble!

Reality Check on 3/19/2013 @ 12:26pm EDT Said:

A team that is physically talented Doug, but just does not have the type of athlete who can handle the big moment. Should beat Memphis but once they play on the big stage SOS rears its ugly head. Unfortunately the players start to ask themselves do I belong on this stage am I good enough to compete at this level. That’s why the Wolverines will advance farther in this tournament they can handle the big moment better.

KB1G on 3/19/2013 @ 1:47pm EDT Said:

“Reality Check” must be on something if he thinks the Wolverines are going to succeed in the tournament this year. Lack of experience and a low post presence, not to mention the inability to defend will cost them in the third round. No Sweet Sixteen for them.

Reality Check on 3/19/2013 @ 2:29pm EDT Said:

KBIG

It was Jalen Rose that picked us for the final four. Are you implying Jalen Rose is on something?

Spartan 4 life on 3/20/2013 @ 1:57pm EDT Said:

im going to come back to this site at the end of the season and laugh at reality check B1G time! Spartans have ALWAYS been dominant in post play UNLIKE the wolverines whose post record is embarrassing!

Final Four U on 3/20/2013 @ 2:17pm EDT Said:

May be biased, but I would be surprised if UM goes farther than Michigan State!

KB1G on 3/20/2013 @ 3:34pm EDT Said:

Reality Check
Why would Jalen Rose pick anyone else to go, thats his team? That comment makes no sense.

Doug on 3/20/2013 @ 4:23pm EDT Said:

And Michigan disowned Jalen, God knows why anyone, especially Michigan fans, would listen to him ! I hope SOS does raise it’s head again, that would mean another final four for izzo !

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