Week 10: We predict all five games

Every week, BTN.com’s Brent Yarina (@BTNBrentYarina) and Tom Dienhart (@BTNTomDienhart) offer their predictions for each Big Ten football game. We also provide a poll for all of the games so fans can vote for their winners.

After nine weeks, it’s Dienhart on top, one game ahead of BTN.com fans and three ahead of Yarina. See our Week 10 predictions and choose your winners in this post.

[RELATED: Week 10 Power Rankings | Week 10 Player Rankings | Week 10 Bowl Projections]

SEASON RECORDS
Tom: 54-20; .730
BTN.com fans: 54-20; .730
Brent: 51-23; .690

Michigan (5-3, 3-1) at Minnesota (5-3, 1-3) - noon ET, BTN/BTN2Go
Tom’s pick: Michigan, 29-28 – The Wolverines’ superior defense will be the difference in what will be a back-and-forth battle for the Little Brown Jug. Oh, and don’t worry about Denard’s elbow. He won’t need it much, as he’ll have a big day running the ball (150? 200 yards?).
Brent’s pick: Michigan, 37-20Healthy wing or not, Denard Robinson torches teams like Minnesota with eye-popping statistical days. He’ll have a big day on the ground and Michigan’s defense should give Philip Nelson a wake-up call.

[AP: Michigan expects Robinson to play at Minnesota]

Iowa (4-4, 2-2) at Indiana (3-5, 1-3) – 3:30 p.m. ET, BTN/BTN2Go
Tom’s pick: Indiana, 33-29 – It’s not too late to hop on the Hoosier bandwagon! Indiana’s Cinderella push to the Big Ten championship game will get juicer and more exciting after it scores on its last possession. Someone call 9-1-1!
Brent’s pick: Indiana, 27-24I’m not as sold on Indiana as some are following last week’s win at reeling Illinois. That said,  it’s tough to have much confidence in Iowa’s offense – even against a vulnerable Hoosier defense.

Illinois (2-6, 0-4) at Ohio State (9-0, 5-0) – 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPN
Tom’s pick: Ohio State, 48-7 – Go ahead and pick a score, any score. That’s likely what the Buckeyes will be able to do in this battle between the Big Ten’s best and worst. It’s time to clear the bench, Brutus. Yes, even the backup long snapper gets in. Next!
Brent’s pick: Ohio State, 45-14This one will be over early, with the only question being: Does Urban Meyer take Braxton Miller out to avoid injury or keep him in there to pad stats, Heisman candidacy?

[AP: Ohio State coming around to Miller for Heisman]

Penn State (5-3, 3-1) at Purdue (3-5, 0-4) – 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPNU
Tom’s pick: Penn State, 31-24 – The desperate Boilermakers will put up a valiant fight—and perhaps even lead at halftime. But that’s when the Nittany Lions’ superior coaching and defense (perhaps a pick six?) will take over.
Brent’s pick: Penn State, 34-20The last time Penn State lost it rattled off five consecutive wins, including three Big Ten triumphs. This team has too many leaders to lose focus, momentum after last week’s home loss to Ohio State.

[AP: Danny Hope shrugs off AD statement]

Nebraska (6-2, 3-1) at Michigan State (5-4, 2-3) – 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC
Tom’s pick: Nebraska, 24-21 – Great offense (Cornhuskers) vs. great defense (Spartans). Which unit can impose its will on the other? It may come down to how well the MSU offense does vs. a surging Nebraska defense. Bet you weren’t expecting that, huh?
Brent’s pick: Nebraska, 27-20They say a great defense stops a great offense, and that may be the case in this one. But as good as Michigan State’s defense is, it will need a lot more help from its offense to keep up with, perhaps, the Big Ten’s best offense.

[AP: Martinez might need title to rank with Nebraska greats]

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15 Comments

Your Opinion?
Show Comments (15 Comments)
GBR_ZX_87 on 10/31/2012 @ 2:26pm EDT Said:

WHAT?!?! MSU has only put more than 20 points on the board once this year! You think all of the sudden they are going to find the offense it needs to do so against a much better, and as you guys pointed out, surging Blackshirt defense? OK, it is a road game, I’ll grant you that it may be close, but I am having a hard time believing it will be because MSU will post more than a touchdown and a couple field goals.

Realistically, this will just be a home game for the Huskers. The Michigan State faithful don’t seem to want their tickets… guess who is buying. Nebraska’s offense either crack MSU’s defense open with a strong and balanced attack and blows MSU away, or they struggle to do a lot and we just beat them with Maher.

    Brent Yarina, BTN.com on 10/31/2012 @ 2:31pm EDT Said:

    I can’t speak for Tom, but Michigan State did finally show signs of life on offense late last week. They opened up, and to much better results. I’m not sure they will build off it, though. Another factor: Nebraska likes to turn the ball over and Michigan State has a great D, so it might get some easy points.

bob jones on 10/31/2012 @ 3:08pm EDT Said:

A small correction Brent, while Neraska does turn the ball over a lot, I believe they lead the country in lost fumbles, they do not like it much.

Michael Davis on 10/31/2012 @ 4:25pm EDT Said:

Another week and more teams get closer to losing bowl eligibility. Illinios officially gives up the goast this week…Iowa and Purdue aren’t far behind. The question of the day…can Indiana pull the upset a week from now and go to Indy?

brad on 10/31/2012 @ 5:44pm EDT Said:

If Sudfeld starts for the Hoosiers, IU wins. Coffman takes waaay to long to ‘see’ and pull-the trigger.

Stephen on 10/31/2012 @ 7:04pm EDT Said:

It would be nice for my Northwestern wildcats if Michigan State found their offense this week. Throw in a turn over that leads to a score? Unfortunately MSU will need more than 21 points to win against Nebraska. Then again, MSU does have a legitimate defense. This one could be even more interesting than we thought?

MSU 27 NU 23

Failure of leadership on 10/31/2012 @ 9:23pm EDT Said:

You are a clown if you think Knowledge U’s defense resembles anything like the actual blackshirts. Also MSU ain’t Northwestern, Sparty won’t need a silent count at home.

GBR_ZX_87 on 10/31/2012 @ 10:03pm EDT Said:

Brent,

I respect what you are saying. It has been ugly. But still, Nebraska can probably out score MSU with our kicker, even if they play as well on offense as they did last week. However, of all the weeks to be wary of the Nebraska defense, it is this week. Last year they got the blackshirts and then sucked the next game. This year, they were given the blackshirts after Northwestern and declined to wear them until they had put another good win under their belts. You bet their poor performance last year hasn’t been forgotten and they will be intent to play out of their minds to make sure it doesn’t happen again. So if they force 3 and outs time after time after time, do you think MSU’s defense can handle the talent, balance, and depth of Nebraska’s offense? We have three healthy and talented running backs and any number of guys the ball can be thrown to. Plus, if your fans show up like last week, their might well be more Nebraskans in the stadium than MSU fans. If either team breaks 20 points,I just don’t see this game being very close.

Mike on 11/1/2012 @ 10:53am EDT Said:

I have a question for the experts. Which Big 10 defense has allowed the fewest passing yards?

Nick on 11/1/2012 @ 10:55am EDT Said:

MSU has met some great offenses, but not one with depth, and I mean talented depth. NU has the most depth in the Big10, let alone probably the nation. One thing I hope we do, is rotate players, and wear down MSU, and exploit them in the 4th. We need to establish a running game, and take advantage of them over the air when we get that opportunity. If we can do this, we can establish that run game. I hope to see Abdullah, Heard, Cross and Janovich get a good amount of touches this weekend. Heard is by far one of the most talented backs we have, and if he is 100% after his groin injury, that put him out last week, we will see how good he really is. Make them fear the pass, we establish the run game we need. Taylor goes 70% for passing again, no INT’s, and hopefully we can limit turnovers. Offense has had 3 in the last two games, which is getting better. Special Teams needs to make an impact as well, and limit mistakes. 27-13 NU is my prediction.

Doug on 11/1/2012 @ 4:22pm EDT Said:

MSU held OSU to 17 points, the same team that scored 63 on that Nebraska defense. MSU’s defense will be the best defense NU has seen and will see, plus it looks like Burkhead is out for the game. Plus MSU held Wisky to 13 points, the same team NU gave up 27 points to.

jeff on 11/1/2012 @ 5:03pm EDT Said:

Check out the video on this page of Braxton Miller’s run. Am i the only one who can see Penn St linebacker Micheal Mauti (42) getting held on this play? How can the officials find some phantom hold in the middle of the line on an OSU punt and not see this. Not saying outcome would have been different, but Penn St got hosed- and i’m not a PSU fan-just sayin’.

Paul on 11/1/2012 @ 6:47pm EDT Said:

Hoping Indiana can take some of the momentum from last week’s win on the road to the Iowa game this weekend. It’s been a long time since we’ve had back to back B1G wins but this could be the weekend!

Paul on 11/1/2012 @ 8:44pm EDT Said:

I love listening to these Nebraska fans who think they know MSU football. As pointed out above, Michigan State probably has the best defense in the Big Ten, and definitely one of the better defenses in the nation. Their offense, although it has been terribly dysfunctional at times, has proven that it can put together a good drive. Coming off that big win in Madison, Maxwell and his receivers have the most confidence they’ve had all year and the defense is feeling as good as ever. Every team who’s played MSU has said that they’ll overcome the defense, but if you look at MSU’s losses, the defense never gave up more than 20 points. In short, MSU is probably the last team you Huskers want to play this week. I’ll say MSU 27 NU 17, but I wouldn’t be surprised if NU scored fewer points than that.

RR on 11/3/2012 @ 10:38am EDT Said:

When was the last time Iowa lost three Big 10 games in a row?? Won’t happen today. Iowa 31 Indiana 17

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