Four Downs: Week 14 predictions, thoughts, truths

It’s that time of the week, time to take a look at four predictions, four truths, four thoughts, four numbers and four jockstrap games. Yep, it’s time for Four Downs.

[ MORE: Week 14 predictions | Best of Week 14 | Week 14 Previews ]


1. Carlos Hyde is gonna rush for 100 yards at Michigan. Heck, he may rush for 150 yards. Hyde has eclipsed the 100-yard rushing barrier in the last six games. There isn’t a hotter running back in the Big Ten.

2. Purdue will lose at Indiana. And, it will be ugly. The Hoosiers will take out their frustrations on a 2013 Boilermakers team that will go down as the worst in school history.

3. Michigan State will have no problems with Minnesota. This is a motivated Spartans team that wants to enter the Big Ten title game with a bang. Besides, the Gophers lack the offensive balance to have much if any sustained success vs. this rugged Michigan State defense.

4. Nebraska will find a way to win a close game vs. Iowa. This is a tough, resilient team that feeds off of Bo Pelini’s steely will. Each time the Cornhuskers have faced adversity, it has responded.


1. Michigan will challenge Ohio State—at least for a half. The Wolverines will play with pride on their home field, giving the Buckeyes some fits for the first 30 minutes. But Ohio State will assert control in the second half en route to posting a victory to cap another 12-0 season.

2. Many people think Iowa needs to beat Nebraska to truly have a good season. It seems wins over Missouri State, Iowa State, Western Michigan, Minnesota, Northwestern, Purdue and Michigan aren’t impressive enough for some. No doubt, a victory in Lincoln would be a signature win for Iowa and further validate all that Kirk Ferentz and Co., and have done in 2013 after a difficult 2012 season.

3. Northwestern may be the best 0-7 Big Ten team ever. I think the Wildcats are better than Indiana and Illinois, and certainly are better than Purdue. NU will get to show it’s superior to Illinois this Saturday. The Cats didn’t play Indiana this season, or 0-7 Purdue. Could NU have beaten Penn State? Hmmm.

4. No offense has been more surprising than Illinois. Not much was expected from the attack after it finished last in the Big Ten in 2012. But Tim Beckman hired Bill Cubit as coordinator in the offseason, and the Illini offense has made huge strides. The unit enters the final game ranked No. 6 in the Big Ten (420.7 ypg). Illinois averaged 296.7 yards in 2012, last in the Big Ten.


1. A win over Iowa would make Bo Pelini 9-3 this season. That would mean Pelini had won nine or more games in each of his six seasons in Lincoln. Yet, he is under scrutiny?

2. Every Big Ten team that Northwestern has lost to has a winning overall record. Bottom line: This has been a tough league schedule for the Wildcats. Not a good recipe for a team that has dealt with a lot of injuries, especially on offense.

3. Minnesota is going to have a difficult time moving the ball and scoring on Michigan State. The Gophers had a scant 185 yards and no offensive touchdowns vs. a very good Wisconsin defense last week. I don’t see things being much better in East Lansing.

4. Penn State doesn’t need to win at Wisconsin to have a successful season. Nope. Finishing with a 6-6 record will be just fine for the Nittany Lions as they continue to deal with sanctions that have them down to 61 recruited scholarship players.


Wisconsin over Penn State

Indiana over Purdue

Central Florida over South Florida

Kansas State over Kansas


1. Penn State has allowed 350 or more yards in 14 straight conference matchups. The only current BCS conference team with a longer such streak is Baylor (27).

2. Nebraska has rushed for at least 120 yards in 37 consecutive games. The only FBS team with a longer streak is Army (47).

3. Michigan is rushing for 32.5 yards per game on the ground in November.

4. Indiana has scored a combined 17 points the last two games, losses to Wisconsin (3) and Ohio State (14). IU hasn’t scored fewer than 28 in any other game this season.

About Tom Dienhart senior writer Tom Dienhart is a veteran sports journalist who covers Big Ten football and men’s basketball for and BTN TV. Find him on Twitter and Facebook, read all of his work at, and subscribe to his posts via RSS. Also, send questions to his weekly mailbag using the form below and read all of his previous answers in his reader mailbag section.

And if you want to leave a comment on this post, use the box below. All comments need to be approved by a moderator.


Your Opinion?
Show Comments (4 Comments)
greg on 11/28/2013 @ 11:42pm EDT Said:

Michigan will keep the game close until the noon kickoff. Stop playing up UofM. They are a bad team. OSU will follow the blueprint MSU laid out and stomp on UofM. Final score will be 44-7.

Doug on 11/29/2013 @ 2:30pm EDT Said:

it may not be that close greg

Mike on 11/30/2013 @ 11:51am EDT Said:

You really don’t think Sparty will have any trouble with the Gophers? Minnesota is a solid squad, and this bout has trap game written all over it. Sparty won’t get a BCS bid unless it beats the Buckeyes. Makes no difference to Sparty whether they win or not this week.

Minnesota is playing for Bowl position and its first nine W season in a decade.

Gophers win a squeaker.

Doug on 11/30/2013 @ 8:20pm EDT Said:

Mike, looking back yes it made a big difference that MSU won since Wisconsin lost, and there was no way MSU was going to lose at home vs Minnesota, they haven’t scored a TD in how many quarters now ?