Bowl Projections: Only 7 Big Ten teams this week

With the top teams taking care of business, there isn’t much movement in my bowl projections. Ohio State still is headed to Pasadena for the Rose Bowl—not the BCS title game. I still think the deck is stacked against the Buckeyes, who appear stuck at No. 4 in the BCS standings, being able to ascend into the Nos. 1 or 2 spots in the final BCS standings.

Loses by Indiana and Northwestern put their bowl fortunes in trouble. In fact, this week, I don’t project either to make it to the postseason, meaning the Big Ten will be unable to fill two of its bowl slots. But, if the conference gets just one team in the BCS, the Big Ten should be able to fill all but one of its postseason destinations.

Wisconsin’s status as a BCS at-large also is a bit murky. Can the Badgers climb into the top 14 of the final BCS standings? That’s what Wisconsin will have to do to earn a BCS at-large slot. For now, the Badgers are No. 24.

Michigan State is No. 17 with a chance to ascend higher. But the Spartans would figure to tumble if they lost the Big Ten title game.

Bottom line: stay tuned.

[ MORE: Power Rankings | Week 10 grades & stocks | What did Tom learn? | Week 10 picks revisited ]

Rose Bowl, Jan. 1 (Big Ten vs. BCS/Pac-12): Ohio State vs. Stanford
Sugar Bowl, Jan. 2 (BCS vs. SEC): Wisconsin vs. South Carolina
Capital One Bowl, Jan. 1 (Big Ten vs. SEC): Michigan State vs. Texas A&M
Outback Bowl, Jan. 1 (Big Ten vs. SEC): Michigan vs. Georgia
Buffalo Wild Wings Bowl, Dec. 28 (Big Ten vs. Big 12): Nebraska vs. Texas Tech
Gator Bowl, Jan. 1 (Big Ten vs. SEC): Minnesota vs. Ole Miss
Texas Bowl, Dec. 27 (Big Ten vs. Big 12): Iowa vs. Kansas State

About Tom Dienhart BTN.com senior writer Tom Dienhart is a veteran sports journalist who covers Big Ten football and men’s basketball for BTN.com and BTN TV. Find him on Twitter and Facebook, read all of his work at btn.com/tomdienhart, and subscribe to his posts via RSS. Also, send questions to his weekly mailbag using the form below and read all of his previous answers in his reader mailbag section.

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27 Comments

Your Opinion?
Show Comments (27 Comments)
Jim on 11/4/2013 @ 9:34am EDT Said:

Is this another issue where MSU could get to B10 title game, lose a close game and lose the BCS to a team, in this case Wisconsin, that didnt make it to the title game? That is screwed up.

intrepid7 on 11/4/2013 @ 10:29am EDT Said:

Wisconsin is No. 24 with two losses currently. Michigan State is No. 17 with one loss currently. If both teams win out, and MSU still loses to the No. 4 team in the Big Ten Title game, how then would Wisconsin get a BCS at-large bid over MSU?

Mike on 11/4/2013 @ 10:31am EDT Said:

Agreed Jim, if that happens, MSU would still have a better resumé than Wisconsin. But it’s the BC$, they’ll get screwed again.

Ryan on 11/4/2013 @ 10:59am EDT Said:

That happened two years ago to MSU. We met Wisc in the title game and lost a very close game. It dropped us down past Mich in the BCS ranking and Mich ended up getting the nod for the Sugar bowl.

Craig on 11/4/2013 @ 11:01am EDT Said:

Does it really matter? Insert any Big Ten team in there and they will still get crushed in a bowl game.

Paul on 11/4/2013 @ 11:20am EDT Said:

MSU v TA&M would be an interesting match up. A GREAT front 7 vs the likes of Johnny football and co. MSU corners would get tested, but Johnny would be running for his life most of the day….which now that I think about it might be a bad thing for MSU

Ben on 11/4/2013 @ 12:05pm EDT Said:

I don’t see Michigan playing a Jan. 1 bowl. With the way they’ve been playing this season, they’ll end up in the Pizza Bowl.

Grant on 11/4/2013 @ 12:32pm EDT Said:

MSU vs Texas A&M. I would love to see MSU beat the crap out of that panzy they have for a QB. Make him go crying to his papa all day long.

Tyson on 11/4/2013 @ 12:46pm EDT Said:

If that were the case wi still has a better resume. Both would have lost a close game to osu (badgers on the road, msu at neutral site) and both would have lost on the road to about equal caliber team (msu at notre dame, wi at Arizona state, in a game where the officials botched so badly they were suspended afterwords). I don’t know how you would consider msu more deserving of the badgers.

J Kappel on 11/4/2013 @ 1:46pm EDT Said:

I am just excited to see my team projected for a Jan 1 bowl……GO GOPHERS!

bigtengrad on 11/4/2013 @ 1:51pm EDT Said:

MSU fans are hillarious. Beat an average Michigan team, and it’s off to the BCS. There is something to account for when arguing about who sucks less between Wisconsin and you guys. The conference you play in. Your wins are against nobodies because the conference is garbage. The national audience recognizes that this is a bad conference and doesn’t reward anyone as a result. No BCS game for Sparty. Basketball season is here though.

James on 11/4/2013 @ 2:39pm EDT Said:

MSU would have the same number of loses as Wisconsin but would have played one more game than the Badgers. Not to mention they would have made it in the BIG Ten Championship game. And that’s got to count for something. Unless you ask Delany.

Doug on 11/4/2013 @ 2:45pm EDT Said:

Tyson, with MSU blowing out Michigan, it’s better than anything Wisconsin has done, that’s just how it is.

Doug on 11/4/2013 @ 3:35pm EDT Said:

bigtengrad, you seem to bitter, let me guess, an osu fan ? and nobody’s talking about who’s sucking less, it’s who’s better and has the better resume, geez dude, relax a little bit

Squeek Eron on 11/4/2013 @ 3:38pm EDT Said:

For once I’d like to see a sweep of all SEC match-ups in bowl games by the B1G. It can and should happen this year since the SEC is not all that great.

matt on 11/4/2013 @ 4:18pm EDT Said:

I wouldn’t put MSU as “better” than wisconsin……. they just dont have the resume to support that. At best, equal, and realisticly a 1/4 notch below, given that shaky offense. if you would combine a loss of the most recent game fresh in voters minds, with the rest of it being on equal footing. I would say your best bet is to beat OSU and put the doubters to rest, if you can.

so MSU fans, big ten title game, put up , or shut up. its that simple.

Craig on 11/4/2013 @ 4:45pm EDT Said:

Squeek Eron, you are hilarious! I would love to see this as much as any Big Ten fan but you can’t be serious?! As you say the SEC is “not all that great”, they would still have a field day with the Big Ten. A down SEC is still MUCH better than this, or any recent Big Ten bowl field.

Doug on 11/4/2013 @ 6:32pm EDT Said:

MSU not allowing a TD their last 3 games and with an improving offense, I would say MSU is as good or a notch above wisconsin, too bad they don’t get to play

muscleman on 11/4/2013 @ 8:55pm EDT Said:

When the Badgers beat Michigan State in the Big Ten Championship game a couple years a go, Michigan State should have gotten the BCS bid over Michigan. They won the head to head encounter that year and should not have been penalized for losing a close game in the Big Ten title game that year.
Wisconsin, should they win out, is clearly deserving of a BCS at-large bid. They are easily one of the top ten teams in the country and prove it week in and week out. And the case could be made they are the BEST team in the Big Ten as well.

Big on 11/4/2013 @ 10:51pm EDT Said:

@muscleman Make the case that Wisconsin is the best team in the B1G. They already lost to OSU (and ASU). You lost me at “clearly” one of the top ten in the country, please explain this as well.

Danielle (@DanielleBloeme) on 11/5/2013 @ 12:20am EDT Said:

Tim Beckman thinks the Illini will get one W and save his job. He better start packing.

Jham on 11/5/2013 @ 3:20pm EDT Said:

@muscleman You are delusional. No one holds a candle to Ohio State this year. Michigan State and Wisconsin are the clear teams fighting for #2. Ohio State wasn’t even at full strength in the game you lost to them. Play them again and it would be a slaughter.

Doug on 11/5/2013 @ 7:06pm EDT Said:

MSU lost @ ND because of questionable penalities, UW lost @ ASU because of the clock late, UW would still have had to kick the FG, no gimmie with the season French is having. MSU blew out M, UW blew out NW, I think MSU has a slight advantage, it’s close.

bigtengrad on 11/5/2013 @ 9:44pm EDT Said:

Doug-MSU doesn’t have a perfect record because of officiating? Spoken like a true Spartan fan. Bask in the glow of victory after a win, blame the zebras when you lose.

Doug on 11/6/2013 @ 2:46pm EDT Said:

bigtengrad, you’re a bitter little man, so keep ripping on every big ten school without saying who you root for. MSU had 3 PI calls on 3rd and long that weren’t penalities according to everyone that knows football, which apparently isn’t you. That means that would have been 3 punts instead of 10 pts for ND. Maybe one day you will learn some football instead of hating on every one of your posts. You have to be a M or OSU fan.

Tom on 11/6/2013 @ 8:05pm EDT Said:

Ohio State will beat MSU in the Big Ten Championship game then go to the Rose Bowl and beat the Pac-12’s second best team, Stanford. They will then finish the season ranked #2, just behind national champion, Alabama, and just ahead of the loser of the national championship game (either FSU or Oregon). What a boring scenario! Why can’t we have the 4 team playoff this year?!?

Don Bennett (@QuixoteCactus) on 11/7/2013 @ 9:01pm EDT Said:

Craig, that’s why MSU beat Georgia in a bowl game 2 years ago right.