Best Case/Worst Case: B1G favorite Ohio State

Urban Meyer’s 12-0 debut in 2012 stoked the fires for a program that was shackled by NCAA probation last season and couldn’t win the Big Ten or go to a bowl. Now unencumbered by probation and with most of that roster back—including quarterback Braxton Miller–expectations are enormous at Ohio State.

In fact, it may be national championship or bust for OSU and Meyer, who went 12-0 at Utah in his second season and won a national crown at Florida in Year Two.

[ RELATED: Study: Ohio State has Big Ten's "best" football fans ]

OHIO STATE

Best case: The Buckeyes race out to a 2-0 mark playing home games vs. overmatched Buffalo and San Diego State. A trip to Cal is close for three quarters before Ohio State’s defense makes some key fourth-quarter plays. Urban Meyer is able to clear the bench during a visit from FCS Florida A&M, which gets pummeled. The starters will need the rest, because the next two games are tough. Ohio State pulls away from Wisconsin in the Big Ten opener in the Horseshoe before edging Northwestern in a prime-time game in Evanston in what could be a preview of the Big Ten championship game. Iowa and Penn State show some moxie and fight during visits to Columbus, but the talent gap between them and the Buckeyes is too great. Ohio State takes an 8-0 mark into November thinking not just Big Ten title—but BCS title. The Boilermakers have had a weird whammy on the Buckeyes, winning the last two meetings in West Lafayette and three of the last four in Ross-Ade Stadium. The whammy doesn’t continue. OSU crushes Purdue, led by former Buckeye assistant Darrell Hazell. The pressure to remain perfect intensifies. A trip to Illinois and a visit from Indiana are mere speed bumps, allowing the Buckeyes to tune up from a huge season-ending visit to Michigan. With a trip to the Big Ten title game and possible BCS title game bid on the line, Ohio State storms into Ann Arbor and wins, continuing its dominance of the Wolverines. The Buckeyes are 12-0 for a second straight season and headed for the Rose Bowl or the BCS title game.

Aug. 31: Buffalo – W
Sept. 7: San Diego State – W
Sept. 14: at Cal – W
Sept. 21: Florida A&M – W
Sept. 28: Wisconsin – W
Oct. 5: at Northwestern – W
Oct. 19: Iowa – W
Oct. 26: Penn State – W
Nov. 2: at Purdue – W
Nov. 16: at Illinois – W
Nov. 23: Indiana – W
Nov. 30: at Michigan – W
12-0 overall; 8-0 Big Ten

[ RELATED: Ohio State suspends RB Carlos Hyde for at least first 3 games ]

Worst case: Three of the first four games are in Columbus, allowing Ohio State to push out to a 4-0 start—but the game at Cal is close, like last year’s 35-28 OSU win in the Horseshoe. The Buckeyes have won five of the last six meetings with the Badgers, but a visit from Wisconsin to open Big Ten play pushes the Buckeyes to the wall in what essentially is a Leaders Division title game before they prevail. Ohio State can’t get up emotionally for a trip to Northwestern and loses to the Wildcats for the first time since 2004 in a showdown of Big Ten powers. The Buckeyes take out their frustrations vs. Iowa at home but lose a turnover-prone game to Penn State the next week in Columbus. Ohio State bounces back to win at Purdue, at Illinois and vs. Indiana, which hasn’t beaten the Buckeyes since 1988. The season boils to down to a trip to Michigan. The Wolverines have been on the short end of this series lately, dropping eight of the last nine. Michigan did win the last time the game was in Ann Arbor in 2011. And, the Wolverines win again in the Big House vs. Ohio State. At 9-3, the Buckeyes head to a nice bowl in Florida. But, anything but a trip to the Rose Bowl or BCS title game is a disappointment.

Aug. 31: Buffalo – W
Sept. 7: San Diego State – W
Sept. 14: at Cal – W
Sept. 21: Florida A&M – W
Sept. 28: Wisconsin – W
Oct. 5: at Northwestern – L
Oct. 19: Iowa – W
Oct. 26: Penn State – L
Nov. 2: at Purdue – W
Nov. 16: at Illinois – W
Nov. 23: Indiana – W
Nov. 30: at Michigan – L
9-3 overall; 5-3 Big Ten

About Tom Dienhart BTN.com senior writer Tom Dienhart is a veteran sports journalist who covers Big Ten football and men’s basketball for BTN.com and BTN TV. Find him on Twitter and Facebook, read all of his work at btn.com/tomdienhart, and subscribe to his posts via RSS. Also, send questions to his weekly mailbag using the form below and read all of his previous answers in his reader mailbag section.

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9 Comments

Your Opinion?
Show Comments (9 Comments)
shookwriter27 on 7/31/2013 @ 2:06pm EDT Said:

The Buckeyes will lead a Big Ten resurgence.

Don Selje on 7/31/2013 @ 11:23pm EDT Said:

A “worst case” scenario would have to include a LOSS to the Badgers. Bucky has taken Brutus to the wall in all 6 of the last games and could have easily split them. The new coach and his 3-4 defense will turn heads in the conference this year.

carl on 8/1/2013 @ 9:42am EDT Said:

Ohio will not go undefeated this year. They will have too much pressure and to big of target on their back. Back to back undefeated seasons don’t just fall out ta the sky folks. Northwestern, Penn st. And possibly a CCG let down. They pulled out four squeakers against inferior teams last year.

Jeron on 8/1/2013 @ 12:35pm EDT Said:

Never have I seen such disrespect for a team that has been to 3 straight Rose Bowls!!!! OSU is overrated, just like every year!!!! Braxton Miller cant pass!!!! It doesnt take a genius to figure it out!!

George on 8/1/2013 @ 12:37pm EDT Said:

Ohio U. does not play Northwestern or Penn State.

James on 8/1/2013 @ 12:59pm EDT Said:

Carl, you’re right, there’s no way Ohio goes undefeated. You do realize that calling a team a different name only works in another team doesn’t already have that name right? In other words, if Al Golden called Florida State “Florida” he’d sound pretty stupid right? That’s the one thing Brady Joke doesn’t get. He refuses to call Ohio State “Ohio State.” At least be more creative. Ohio is not the school in Columbus. Ohio is the team that knocked Meatchicken out of the NCAA Tournament in 2012. Also, please try and learn some grammar. That being sad, I wouldn’t be shocked if OSU lost a game, but there is a pretty large talent gap between the Buckeyes and everyone else on their schedule.

rakesh jani (@rakeshjani) on 8/1/2013 @ 4:00pm EDT Said:

OSU could be a much improved Team from last year, I am sure offence would be, There are some holes on the defence and that could be the only thing which can let OSU to lose a game. Also The schedule is a Joke this year and I am a BIg OSU fan. The only tough game is that night game at nortwestern and TTUM. And who know we might play TTUM again in the BIG champioship again. Also I agree going undefeated two times in a row requires tremendouse amout of luck.

Joe Andujar on 8/2/2013 @ 5:56pm EDT Said:

They Finish 6&6

Gregg on 8/3/2013 @ 11:16am EDT Said:

Jeron, the most recent of those “three consecutive Rose Bowls” wouldn’t happen to have occurred last year, when the Buckeyes were ineligible to compete in the Rose Bowl but still beat Wisconsin at Camp Randall, would it?

I mean, if that were the case, then it would seem like a shaky foundation for your argument, considering this year the Badgers will face the Buckeyes at Ohio Stadium, where Ohio state has maintained a 90% win percentage since 2002.

Or are you expecting a return to the glory days of 2004, the last year the Badgers beat the Buckeyes at their house?