Week 9: We predict all six Big Ten games

Every week, BTN.com’s Brent Yarina (@BTNBrentYarina) and Tom Dienhart (@BTNTomDienhart) offer their predictions for each Big Ten football game. We also provide a poll for all of the games so fans can vote for their winners.

After eight weeks, it’s Dienhart on top, one game ahead of BTN.com fans and three ahead of Yarina. See our Week 9 predictions and choose your winners in this post.

[RELATED: Week 9 Power Rankings | Week 9 Player Rankings | Week 9 Bowl Projections]

SEASON RECORDS
Tom: 52-16; .765
BTN.com fans: 51-17; .750
Brent: 49-19; .721

Indiana (2-5, 0-3) at Illinois (2-5, 0-3) - noon ET, BTN/BTN2Go
Tom’s pick: Indiana, 30-29 – Let’s call this the “Desperation Bowl.” The Fighting Illini have lost four in a row; the Hoosiers have lost five. I like Indiana, since it has at least one area playing well: offense. Illinois has nothing clicking coming off a bye week.
Brent’s pick: Illinois, 34-27As bad as Illinois is playing in pretty much every facet of the game, there’s this: Indiana has one Big Ten road win since 2008 (11/27/10; 34-31 over Purdue).

Iowa (4-3, 2-1) at Northwestern (6-2, 2-2) – noon ET, ESPN2
Tom’s pick: Iowa, 21-19 – If you are looking for great offense—keep looking. This will be an ugly game that the Hawkeyes will find a way to win because of their defense, which got whipped last week but is still better than the Wildcat defense.
Brent’s pick: Northwestern, 23-16These two teams have combined for a troubling nine touchdown passes through 15 games. This one will feature a lot of running and quite a few field goals.

Purdue (3-4, 0-3) at Minnesota (4-3, 0-3) – 3:30 p.m. ET, BTN/BTN2Go
Tom’s pick: Purdue, 27-24 – One of these teams will end a three-game losing skein. And it will be the Boilermakers, who have the better defense and more stability at quarterback.
Brent’s pick: Purdue, 31-20It’s hard to be confident in either team, but Purdue boasts a defensive front that could spell trouble for a freshman quarterback making his second career start.

Michigan State (4-4, 1-3) at Wisconsin (6-2, 3-1) – 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN2
Tom’s pick: Wisconsin, 28-14. These teams played two classics last season. Don’t expect a repeat. This is a tale of two teams headed in opposite directions at hyper speed.
Brent’s pick: Wisconsin, 24-13Here’s what you need to know about this one: Wisconsin hasn’t allowed an opponent to score more than 14 points the last three games; and Michigan State has scored fewer than 17 points in three of the last four.

Ohio State (8-0, 4-0) at Penn State (5-2, 3-0) – 5:30 p.m. ET, ESPN
Tom’s pick: Penn State, 31-24 – The Nittany Lions will roll on to a sixth consecutive victory behind the red-hot hand of quarterback Matt McGloin and a defense that continues to play above expectations.
Brent’s pick: Penn State, 28-24Together, the two teams have won 13 consecutive games. However, Braxton Miller hasn’t faced a defense like this since the Big Ten opener. Only difference is, Penn State has an offense to make Ohio State pay.

[AP: Ohio State, Penn State still matters amid sanctions]

Michigan (5-2, 3-0) at Nebraska (5-2, 2-1) – 8 p.m. ET, ESPN2
Tom’s pick: Nebraska, 27-24 – The Cornhuskers will win this huge Legends Division matchup behind the Big Ten’s best offense and a raucous crowd. The Nebraska defense won’t dominate, but it won’t let Denard Robinson run wild, either.
Brent’s pick: Nebraska, 30-27 - None of Michigan’s last five opponents has scored more than 13 points. As impressive as that is, the Wolverines haven’t faced anything the quality of Taylor Martinez and company since the Alabama game.

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26 Comments

Your Opinion?
Show Comments (26 Comments)
Ryan M on 10/23/2012 @ 7:17pm EDT Said:

I’m calling the games right now. Indiana over Illinois, PSU over OSU, Michigan over Nebraska(GO BLUE!), MSU over Wisconsin, Purdue over Minn, and NU over Iowa.

jordan born on 10/23/2012 @ 8:11pm EDT Said:

i agree with all of what you said ryan except michigan over nebraska

SpartanFan on 10/23/2012 @ 11:13pm EDT Said:

I agree with Jordan, except MSU over Wiscy. Desperate times… By the way, slimey of BTN to omit the Sadler fake punt and Spartan drive in the BTN replay. Seriously, be a little impartial!

James on 10/23/2012 @ 11:33pm EDT Said:

Not sure why analysts are expecting a unanimous Nebraska win. Who have Nebraska beat? Wisconsin. Nebraska has not faced a top ten defense yet this year. Michigan on the other hand has faced a #1 Alabama, #5 MSU and #6 ND defense. Sure Michigan is 1-2 in those 3 games, but Nebraska was supposed to be this good team last year and beat Michigan. Suddenly we lose to a #1 team by a few touchdowns (first game) and barely lose to a now #5 ND team by 7 with 6 turnovers (a fluke) and we get no love. That’s fine though we’ll take the underdog label.

“None of Michigan’s last five opponents has scored more than 13 points. As impressive as that is, the Wolverines haven’t faced anything the quality of Taylor Martinez and company since the Alabama game.” Yet Nebraska hasn’t faced a top ten defense yet this year. Wisconsin does not have the caliber of defense as MSU. Not even close.

Noah on 10/24/2012 @ 3:52am EDT Said:

I don’t think I’ve ever seen Indiana picked so overwhelmingly to win a Big Ten football game. And I’m still certain they’ll find a way to lose it. But that’s OK, we have basketball season for a reason.

Blackshirt76 on 10/24/2012 @ 7:08am EDT Said:

The only reason Michigan beats Nebraska on Saturday is because of Denard Robinson. A Bo Pelini defense has almost NEVER been able to stop a running QB. Michigan’s defense won’t win the game, nor their offense. Robinson decides this game by himself and it won’t be close. Mobile QB + a Pelini disciplined team (lack thereof) means another embarassing loss at home. 51-24 bad guys.

bigdaddy buckeye on 10/24/2012 @ 8:09am EDT Said:

First things first.

Nebraska will beat Wishagain because Robinson sucks. And if they get behind and are forced to pass it’ll get ugly.

Second. Since Penn state is obviously favored to win they won’t. I think OSU’s defense will show up and stop those nittany kittens. And Meyer already said he has an offensive package that uses 2 quarterbacks. Watch out if he uses it.

Clay Shaffer on 10/24/2012 @ 9:06am EDT Said:

OSU will beat Penn St, Nebraska over Michigan, MSU over Wisc, NW over Iowa, Purdue over Minn., and Illinois over indiana. Go Buckeyes

scott schlaack on 10/24/2012 @ 9:35am EDT Said:

so you are comparing nebraska to alabama??? in you predition for the mich. game… really

scott schlaack on 10/24/2012 @ 9:42am EDT Said:

ok i get your reasoning for neb. being a favorite to win because they are at home. but other than that dont get it at all… they had to beat NW in overtime to win for starters. ohio scored at will on them. and also i guess mich doesnt have an offense??? the question should be can neb. stop mich.offense??????

scott schlaack on 10/24/2012 @ 10:39am EDT Said:

if mich. comes out and calls playes to be conservitive they will lose period. dont be prdictable on play calling.. be agressive. i hate that philosphy of being conservitive. just my opioion what do you all think??

Tony D on 10/24/2012 @ 11:29am EDT Said:

Michigan’s offense gets stopped by top ten defenses, Nebraska does not have one, especially against the run. Otherwise, it can score every possession. Is TMart more efficient as a passer this year? Sure, but no way can you compare it to the efficient machine that is Alabama. If Nebraska wins they need to cure their fumblitis, because it is bad, and they need to force Michigan into turnovers to win, Drob has one turnover in the last 3 games, on a chucked up hail mary pass before halftime. Also, apparently Michigan’s defense is worse than Northwesterns…according to these ‘analyst’. Come on man!

Ryan M on 10/24/2012 @ 12:14pm EDT Said:

@BlackShirt76, Michigan beat Michigan State because of our DEFENSE. So I don’t think you watched any of that game. Yeah, we have a dynamic offense, but only when they come out to play. Which they didn’t last week. We had a handful of good plays, but that was it. If we decide to play (IMHO) our best running back, Thomas Rawls, we’ll be a bigger threat to defenses. But without a decent RB, Denard is the only threat in our backfield. He’s gotten better at throwing, but you can’t honestly say you’re a Michigan fan and not cringe every time he drops back in the pocket lol.
Nebraska is good, but I think they’re hyping them up a bit much. Without Burkhead, Martinez is really going to have to step his game up. Not to completely take away from Kenny Bell. I think he’s a great athlete as well.

@James – I agree completely.

@Bigdaddy Buckeye – I think you’re dreaming a bit high. Your defense allowed a team that Michigan beat by 30 points to walk all over you, at home might I add. I think Purdue is a great team, and I think that game was a huge confidence booster for them. But back to my first point… I believe McGloin will walk all over OSU’s defense and give OSU their first loss of the season.

@SpartanFan – as much as I dislike MSU, you have to give their defense credit. I think Bullough and the rest of your defense can stop Wisconsin’s run game. And as long as you have a good DB on Abbrederis, I think it will take away their pass game as well. And your guys’ rivalry has just been sparked from last year. I think we’re in for a good game.

@Scott Schlaak – Yes, I hate the conservative play-calling and I do believe it is the reason we lost games. Against ‘Bama AND ND. We barely let Denard use his gifts from God (legs) in either of those games lol.

Doug on 10/24/2012 @ 2:55pm EDT Said:

Ryan, Michigan beat MSU because MSU’s offense is pathetic, yeah Michigan’s D isn’t bad, but it was more MSU than Michigan. The reason Michigan’s offense didn’t come to play was MSU’s defense, they take away a lot of things on just about any team.

jaykat on 10/24/2012 @ 3:03pm EDT Said:

Hmmm, this was the Big Ten play of the year last year, and every clip in the end zone begins with WI’s #14 already on the ground. However on youtube footage, look what #3 Cunningham did to him at the 14 sec mark and the 38 second mark. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wka-s7B8WHA. Coincidently people said those kind of offensive interferences did matter when the Seahawks did it to the Packers on their HailMary/Packer Interception play. They won by cheating.

Mike on 10/24/2012 @ 3:34pm EDT Said:

A win is a win but I would not feel good about beating a struggling MSU team 12-10 . I don’t think there is an offense in the Big 10 that can outscore NU if they can ever get over their turnover issue’s. While everyone says how good the offense is they have also put their defense in some pretty tough spots. If they can stop the turnovers they score more points and keep the defense off the field.

Jon on 10/24/2012 @ 4:21pm EDT Said:

“Since Penn state is obviously favored to win they won’t.”

Nice logic here…

“I think OSU’s defense will show up and stop those nittany kittens.”

The only team your defense looked respectable on was that powerhouse Michigan State offense that has set football back 50 years.

“And Meyer already said he has an offensive package that uses 2 quarterbacks. Watch out if he uses it.”

Please do. If you have to resort to stupid gimmicks like this one, you’re sending the message that your regular offense – which has been your strength all season – is not good enough to get the job done.

Penn State 34
Ohio State 24

Mark on 10/24/2012 @ 6:48pm EDT Said:

The best part is that the boys will suit up on Saturday and play a game and I hope it’s a good one. Shame Burkhead won’t being playing as that would make it even more interesting.

James on 10/24/2012 @ 7:44pm EDT Said:

Bucky is NOT going to lose at home. Take it to the bank

    James on 10/24/2012 @ 8:39pm EDT Said:

    Yeah because Bucky and Urban Meyer will never be beaten by anybody at home. Wonderful logic. lol whatever. Ohio cheated a win against Purdue by trapping the ball. Ohio is overrated.

GeminiTolen on 10/25/2012 @ 3:34am EDT Said:

I agree with the picks including Nebraska. The only team that’s beaten Nebraska this year IS Nebraska. Against UCLate Nebraska had both games easily in hand. But as soon as either team made a Nebraska fell apart. Theyre offense did it again last week too but the typically potent northwestern offense(500 something ypg) was completely shut down (at some point I saw they had only 5n 27 plays. ) they had done just as well vs Braxton Miller up until they crumbled. Should DEFINITELY be an interesting game to watch because Obviously Denard will make plays and Nebraska indeed has always had difficulty vs mobile qbs but their corners have become consistently lockdown corners so Robinson will have to do it with his legs. And he WILL. question is, will Nebraska fall apart when he does. Fan of both teams but both teams “signature” wins (NU vs Wisconsin and Mich vs Mich st) have proven nothing. Michigan state definitely not worth the hype they receive(same team that ESCAPED with a win over Eastern Michigan and Wisconsin not any better.

Blackshirt76 on 10/25/2012 @ 7:00am EDT Said:

@Ryan M

The reason I said the Michigan defense won’t beat Nebraska is because they won’t have to. Robinson will run all over Nebraska and beat the Huskers alone. I believe Michigan stomps on the Huskers because of one reason: Shoelace.

You’re right, I didn’t watch much of the MSU v.s. UM game. What I know is Michigan’s defense is improved and MSU’s offense is weak. That is a perfect combo for a great defensive effort.

Just as Michigan know what they have in their QB, I know what I have in my head coach. Our team lacks discipline, our coach has failed for years to shutdown Shoelace-type QBs, and we can’t keep the ball off the floor. The media is calling for a Nebraska win and once again, the media will be proved wrong.

mrbee on 10/25/2012 @ 8:19am EDT Said:

This is Nebraska’s opportunity to finally put it all together. As others have indicated, Nebraska has been beaten by themselves…without turnovers and penalties, this team can hang with any BIG team. Michigan’s qb is a terrible passer, so Bo and company will force him to throw it up. Prediction: Huskers 31 Wolverines 24

    James on 10/25/2012 @ 8:49am EDT Said:

    No way Nebraska puts up 30 points on Michigan this weekend. Even in Cornhusker land. Nebraska has not faced a top ten defense all season long and their numbers are skewed. Let me reiterate Alabama has #1 defense, MSU has #5, ND has #6, Michigan #10. Toughest defense Nebraska has faced this season so far has been a Wisconsin squad at #18 at best. Saying that Nebraska will put up more than 30 is saying that Nebraska is on the same level or close to Alabama. That is laughable and unrealistic.

Diana on 10/27/2012 @ 11:17am EDT Said:

I’m with James, Go Blue!!

Alicia on 10/27/2012 @ 12:10pm EDT Said:

Denard Robinson makes big plays when they are needed. His passing game is much improved. Denard and the Wolverines will find a way to win today, in combination with Michigans defense and Denards running game. Michigans defense will hold Taylor Martinez, his numbers will be low this game. Michigan has a point to prove, they have been bad on the road and they are out to prove that they can do it. Michigan 24 Nebraska 20.